_Chapter 17 - Preview of 2007 and Beyond_ |
This section provides information about future plans for the standard and alternative education accountability (AEA) procedures of the state accountability system, to the extent these plans are known in the spring of 2006. The purpose is to inform educators in advance so districts and campuses can adequately prepare for changes that will take place in 2007 and later years. The phase-in schedule for the accountability standards is reevaluated annually; any changes to the information provided here will be announced with as much advance notice as possible.
Additions, deletions, and modifications beyond those discussed here are possible. State legislative action may also affect the accountability system ratings, reports, sanctions, and rewards. At this point, such action cannot be predicted.
The changes described below begin with standard procedures and are followed by AEA procedures, presented for the years 2007, 2008, and 2009 and beyond. Changes described for any given year are based on a comparison to the immediately preceding year.
Of important note for the future is the planned incorporation of new alternative assessments for students with disabilities, using a phase-in schedule beginning in 2008. These new assessments are currently under development; grades, subjects, and the implementation schedule are still to be determined.
Accountability Standards. In 2007, the Academically Acceptable standards will increase from 35% to 40% for science, from 40% to 45% for mathematics, and from 60% to 65% for reading/ELA, writing, and social studies. The standard for Recognized (for all subjects) will move from 70% to 75% in 2007. Exemplary will remain the same, at 90%.
TAKS Commended. Beginning with ratings released in 2007, a label of "commended" will be appended to campus and district ratings if the campus or district also earns a GPA for at least 50% of the commended performance indicators on which the campus or district is evaluated. A minimum of three of the five commended performance indicators must be evaluated; or if only two are evaluated, both must be acknowledged (2 out of 2). Only campuses and districts rated Academically Acceptable or higher will be eligible to receive this additional label. Campuses and districts evaluated under AEA procedures will not be eligible to receive this additional label.
Minimum Size Requirements. Maintain the same 30/10%/50 minimum size criteria used in 2006.
No changes are anticipated for this indicator for 2007.
Accountability Standards. No change to standards for Completion Rate I for 2007.
Dropout Definition. Beginning with dropouts from the 2005-06 school year (reported in 2006-07), TEA will use the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) definition of a dropout. Among other definitional changes, this means that a student who leaves the public school system in 2005-06 to attend a General Educational Development (GED) program elsewhere, and does not receive a GED certificate by the deadline, will be counted as a dropout. If a student is still enrolled at a public school, even an in-school GED program, he or she will be defined as a continuing student. As shown in Table 21, results for one of the four cohort years (2005-06) will be calculated using this new definition for 2007.
Required Improvement (RI). No RI will be available for completion rate in 2007 due to the change in definition for dropouts.
Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. The Agency will consider options in the future for addressing the impact of displaced Hurricane Katrina and Rita students on completion rates used for the 2007 through 2010 accountability ratings.
Completion Rate Methodology Accountability Year Class of Cohort YearsDropout
Definition Numerator Denominator 2006 20052001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05TEA
TEA
TEA
TEAGraduates +
Continuers Graduates+
Continuers+
GED Recipients+
Dropouts 2007 20062002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06 TEA
TEA
TEA
NCESGraduates +
Continuers Graduates+
Continuers+
GED Recipients+
Dropouts2008
2007
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07TEA
TEA
NCES
NCES Graduates +
Continuers Graduates+
Continuers+
GED Recipients+
Dropouts2009
2008
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08TEA
NCES
NCES
NCES Graduates +
Continuers Graduates+
Continuers+
GED Recipients+
Dropouts2010
2009
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09NCES
NCES
NCES
NCES Graduates +
Continuers Graduates+
Continuers+
GED Recipients+
Dropouts
Accountability Standards. No change to standards for the Annual Dropout Rate for 2007.
Dropout Definition. Beginning with dropouts who leave during the 2005-06 school year (used for 2007 accountability), the definition of a dropout will change to the definition used by the NCES of the U.S. Department of Education (USDE).
Required Improvement. No RI will be available in 2007 for the dropout rate due to the change in definition for dropouts.
Hold Harmless Provision. Due to the definitional and RI changes described above, if the Annual Dropout Rate for grades 7-8 is the only indicator causing a district or campus to be Academically Unacceptable, then the "hold harmless" provision is applied and the campus or district will be rated Academically Acceptable instead. This provision will be in place for 2007 only.
Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Provisions will be implemented to ensure that districts and campuses with 2005-06 dropout rates impacted by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita are rated appropriately.
Underreported Students. In 2007, the percent of underreported students that can prevent a district from being rated Exemplary or Recognized will decrease from 2.0% to 1.5%.
Recommended High School Program (RHSP)/Distinguished Achievement Program (DAP). The RHSP/DAP standard increases from 70.0% to 80.0% in 2007.
Commended Performance. The standard for this indicator will increase for each subject from 20% to 25% in 2007.
These indicators will not be used in determining accountability ratings in 2007, and will not be on the Accountability Data Tables released in 2007, but they will be reported in other products, such as the AEIS reports.
TAKS Science Grade 8. Performance on this indicator will be reported on the 2006-07 AEIS reports.
TAKS-Inclusive. Performance on TAKS-I science (grades 5, 8, & 10), social studies (grades 8 & 10), and exit-level (all subjects) will be reported on the 2006-07 AEIS reports.
Progress Measure for English Language Learners (ELL). Performance on this indicator will be reported on the 2006-07 AEIS reports.
The 2007 AEA campus registration process begins on September 11, 2006. An email notification will be sent to all superintendents stating that alternative education campuses (AECs) rated in 2005-06 under AEA procedures will be re-registered automatically in 2006-07 subject to the at-risk registration criterion. A rescission letter will be required from AECs not wishing to remain registered for AEA. A 2006-07 Alternative Education Accountability Campus Registration Form will be required from each AEC that wishes to be evaluated under 2006-07 AEA procedures that is not already on the list of registered AECs. A sample rescission letter and the registration form will be available on the AEA website at http://www.tea.state.tx.us/aea. The 2007 registration process closes on September 22, 2006. When finalized, the list of 2007 registered AECs will be available on the AEA website.
Each AEC must have at least 70% at-risk student enrollment or be eligible to use the Prior-Year PEIMS At-Risk Data or New Campus safeguards to remain registered and be evaluated under 2007 AEA procedures.
Campus accountability subset determines attribution of AEC test data. The 2005-06 leaver data are attributed to the last campus of attendance. The 85-day rule is phased-out completely for accountability in 2007 and beyond.
Accountability Standards. The TAKS Progress and SDAA II standards increase to 45%.
Accountability Standards. The Annual Dropout Rate standard remains at 10.0%.
Dropout Definition. The dropout definition transitions from the current state definition to the NCES definition. Students dropping out of school during the 2005-06 school year are reported in 2006-07 in accordance with the NCES dropout definition. The Annual Dropout Rate indicator under AEA procedures includes grades 7-12; therefore, registered AECs and charters evaluated under AEA procedures will experience the full impact of implementing the NCES dropout definition.
Required Improvement. RI for the Annual Dropout Rate indicator cannot be calculated and will not be applied in 2007. The changes to the dropout definition will prevent comparisons of rates used in 2006 and 2007.
Hold Harmless Provision. Due to the definitional and RI changes described above, if the Annual Dropout Rate is the only indicator causing a registered AEC or charter to be AEA: Academically Unacceptable, then the "hold harmless" provision is applied and the AEC or charter will be assigned the AEA: Academically Acceptable label. This provision will be in place for 2007 only.
Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Provisions will be implemented to ensure that registered AECs and charters with 2005-06 dropout rates impacted by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita are rated appropriately.
Accountability Standards. The Completion Rate II standard remains at 75.0%.
Required Improvement. RI for the Completion Rate II indicator cannot be calculated and will not be applied in 2007. The changes to the dropout definition will prevent comparisons of rates used in 2006 and 2007.
Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. The Agency will consider options in the future for addressing the impact of displaced Hurricane Katrina and Rita students on completion rates used for the 2007 through 2010 accountability ratings.
SSI and Grade 8 Reading and Mathematics. In 2008 the Student Success Initiative will go into effect for grade 8. These students will need to pass TAKS reading and mathematics in order to be promoted to grade 9. The tests will be administered multiple times, as with the other SSI grades. Results from both the first and second administrations of 8th grade reading and mathematics will be included in the TAKS reading/ELA and mathematics indicators, respectively, in the same way they are included for grade 5 SSI. Note that prior year results cannot be computed to be precisely comparable, since there will not be multiple administrations of 8th grade reading and mathematics in 2007. Any improvement calculations will be based on multiple administrations in 2008 compared to one administration in 2007.
TAKS Science. The results of the grade 8 science assessment will be included in the accountability system beginning in 2008. The student standard for this assessment will be at panel recommendation (scale score of 2100).
Accountability Standards. In 2008, the Academically Acceptable standard for reading/ELA, writing, and social studies will remain at 65%. The standard for mathematics will increase from 45% to 50%, and the standard for science will increase to 45%. The standard for Recognized will remain at 75% and the standard for Exemplary will remain at 90%. If, however, for 2008, TAKS-I results are combined with the TAKS results as a single indicator, the TAKS indicator standards will be revisited.
Minimum Size Requirements. Maintain the same 30/10%/50 minimum size criteria used in 2007.
TAKS-I. In 2008, results for TAKS-I science (grades 5, 8, & 10), social studies (grades 8 & 10), and exit-level (all subjects) will be included in the accountability system. The student passing standard for TAKS-I will be the same as for TAKS. Results for TAKS-I reading/ELA, writing, and mathematics for grades 3-10 will not be used in 2008.
TAKS-Modified (TAKS-M) and TAKS-Alternate (TAKS-Alt). Results for these two other alternative assessments will not be used for accountability purposes in 2008.
Accountability Standards. The Academically Acceptable and Recognized standards for Completion Rate I will be reevaluated once data on the impact of the new NCES dropout definition is available.
Dropout Definition. Results for two of the four cohort years (2005-06 and 2006-07) will be calculated using the NCES definition. See Table 21.
Accountability Standards. No change to standards for the Annual Dropout Rate for 2008.
Required Improvement. Required Improvement for the Annual Dropout Rate will be reinstated in 2008 when two years of dropout rates using the new definition are available.
Progress Measure for English Language Learners (ELL). Decisions regarding the ELL indicator will be made during the 2007 accountability cycle for first possible use in the 2008 accountability ratings.
Exceptions. The Exceptions Provision will be reevaluated to determine if measures should be added or removed, adjustments need to be made to the number of exceptions for which campuses or districts are eligible, or other aspects need to be modified.
Underreported Students. In 2008, the percent of underreported students that can prevent a district from being rated Exemplary or Recognized will decrease from 1.5% to 1.0%. Also in 2008, the number of underreported students that can prevent a district from being rated Exemplary or Recognized will decrease from 100 to 75.
Texas Success Initiative. The standard for this indicator will increase for each subject from 50% to 55% in 2008.
These indicators will not be used in determining accountability ratings in 2008, and will not be on the Accountability Data Tables released in 2008, but they will be reported in other products, such as the AEIS reports.
TAKS-I. Performance on TAKS-I reading/ELA, writing, and mathematics for grades 3-10 will be reported on the 2007-08 AEIS reports for the first time.
TAKS-M and TAKS-Alt. Performance on these assessments will be reported on the 2007-08 AEIS reports for the first time.
The 2008 AEA campus registration process will be conducted electronically. Details will be included in the 2007 Accountability Manual.
Each AEC must have at least 70% at-risk student enrollment or be eligible to use the Prior-Year PEIMS At-Risk Data or New Campus safeguards to remain registered and be evaluated under 2008 AEA procedures.
Accountability Standards. The TAKS Progress standard remains at 45%.
Accountability Standards. The Annual Dropout Rate standard remains at 10.0%.
Accountability Standards. The Completion Rate II standards for 2008 and beyond have not been determined.
Accountability Standards. In 2009, the Academically Acceptable standards will increase by five points for all subjects: to 70% for reading/ELA, writing, and social studies; to 55% for mathematics; and, to 50% for science. Also in 2009, the standard for Recognized (for all subjects) will increase to 80%. In 2010, the Academically Acceptable standards will increase to 60% and 55% for mathematics and science, respectively. Standards beyond 2010 are yet to be determined. If, however, for 2009 the TAKS-I results are combined with the TAKS results as a single indicator, the TAKS indicator standards will be revisited.
Minimum Size Criteria. For 2009, minimum size may be modified to include all groups with 30 or more students. If this change is made, groups of 30 to 49 would be included even if they represent less than 10% of the tested population.
TAKS-I. In 2009, the TAKS-I performance used in the accountability system will be the same as for 2008 (TAKS-I science - grades 5, 8, & 10, social studies - grades 8 & 10, and exit-level - all subjects). In 2010, performance on all TAKS-I subjects and grades will be used in the accountability system. The student passing standard for TAKS-I will be the same as for TAKS.
TAKS-M and TAKS-Alt. Decisions regarding inclusion of these assessments will be made during the 2009 accountability development cycle for first possible use in the accountability system beginning in 2010.
Accountability Standards. The standards for 2009 and beyond have not been determined.
Dropout Definition. In 2009, results for three of the four cohort years (2005-06, 2006-07, and 2007-08) will be calculated using the NCES definition. In 2010, the transition will be complete and all four years will be calculated using the NCES definition. See Table 21.
Accountability Standards. The standards for 2009 and beyond have not been determined.
Exceptions. The Exceptions Provision will be reevaluated to determine if measures should be added or removed, adjustments need to be made to the number of exceptions for which campuses or districts are eligible, or other aspects need to be modified.
Underreported Students. A new longitudinal indicator may replace the current underreported students indicator in the accountability ratings process or may be added to the PBM Data Integrity System.
Advanced/Dual Enrollment Course Completion. The standard for this indicator will increase from 25.0% to 30.0% in 2009 and will remain at 30.0% in 2010.
Commended Performance. The standard for this indicator will increase for each subject from 25% to 30% in 2009 and will remain at 30% in 2010.
Recommended High School Program/Distinguished Achievement Program. The RHSP/DAP standard increases from 80.0% to 85.0% in 2009 and will remain at 85.0% in 2010.
SAT/ACT. The standard for SAT/ACT for 2009 and beyond will be reevaluated during the 2008 accountability development process.
Texas Success Initiative. The standard for this indicator will increase for each subject from 55% to 60% in 2009 and to 65% in 2010.
These indicators will not be used in determining accountability ratings in 2009, and will not be on the Accountability Data Tables released in 2009, but they will be reported in other products, such as the AEIS reports.
TAKS-I. Performance on TAKS-I reading/ELA, writing, and mathematics for grades 3-10 will be reported on the 2008-09 AEIS reports for the second time.
TAKS-M and TAKS-Alt. Performance on these assessments will be reported on the 2008-09 AEIS reports for the second time.
Accountability Standards. The TAKS Progress standard increases to 50%.
Accountability Standards. The Annual Dropout Rate standards for 2009 and beyond have not been determined.
The phase-in schedule for the accountability standards will be reevaluated annually; any changes will be announced with as much advance notice as possible. In the table below, all known changes to standards for the assessments currently in place are shown. Changes for any given year compared to the prior year are indicated in bold.
2006 2007* 2008** 2009** 2010** TAKS Standards Exemplary ≥ 90% ≥ 90% ≥ 90% ≥ 90% ≥ 90% Recognized≥ 70%
≥ 75%
≥ 75%
≥ 80%
≥ 80%
Acceptable
R/ELA, W, SS
≥ 60%
≥ 65%
≥ 65%
≥ 70%
≥ 70%
Mathematics
≥ 40%
≥ 45%
≥ 50%
≥ 55%
≥ 60%
Science
≥ 35%
≥ 40%
≥ 45%
≥ 45%
≥ 50%
Student Passing Standard
Gr. 3-11 at PR
Gr. 3-11 at PR
Gr. 3-11 at PR
Gr. 3-11 at PR
Gr. 3-11 at PR
SDAA II StandardsExemplary
≥ 90%
≥ 90%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Recognized
≥ 70%
≥ 70%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Acceptable
≥ 50%
≥ 50%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Completion Rate (Grade 9-12) StandardsClass of 2005
(9th grade 01-02)Class of 2006
(9th grade 02-03)Class of 2007
(9th grade 03-04)Class of 2008
(9th grade 04-05)Class of 2009
(9th grade 05-06)Exemplary
≥ 95%
≥ 95%
TBD
TBD
TBD
Recognized
≥ 85%
≥ 85%
TBD
TBD
TBD
Acceptable
≥ 75%
≥ 75%
TBD
TBD
TBD
Completion Rate I Definition
Grads+Cont
Grads+Cont
Grads+Cont
Grads+Cont
Grads+Cont
Dropout Definition
Current State Definition (4 yrs.)
State Definition
(3 yrs.);
NCES Definition (1 yr.)State Definition (2 yrs.);
NCES Definition (2 yrs.)State Definition (1 yr.);
NCES Definition (3 yrs.)NCES Definition (4 yrs.)
Annual Dropout Rate (Grade 7-8) Standardsfrom 2004-05
from 2005-06
from 2006-07
from 2007-08
from 2008-09
Exemplary
≤ 0.2%
≤ 0.2%
≤ 0.2%
TBD
TBD
Recognized
≤ 0.7%
≤ 0.7%
≤ 0.7%
TBD
TBD
Acceptable
≤ 1.0%
≤ 1.0%
≤ 1.0%
TBD
TBD
Indicator Definition
Current State Definition
NCES Definition
NCES Definition
NCES Definition
NCES Definition
Additional Features Required ImprovementSee Chapter 3
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
Exceptions
See Chapter 3 TBD TBD TBD TBDUnderreported Students
≤ 100
and
≤2.0%≤ 100
and
≤1.5%≤ 75
and
≤1.0% Possible use of longitudinal measures of data quality TBD* Details about the 2007 accountability standards are presented in Chapter 16: Accountability Standards for 2007.
** Standards for 2008 and beyond will be reviewed annually and are subject to change.
2006 2007* 2008 2009 2010 TAKS Progress Standard AEA: Academically Acceptable ≥ 40% ≥ 45% ≥ 45% ≥ 50% ≥ 50% SDAA II Standard AEA: Academically Acceptable ≥ 40% ≥ 45% N/A N/A N/A Completion Rate II (Grade 9-12) StandardClass of 2005
(9th grade 01-02)Class of 2006
(9th grade 02-03)Class of 2007
(9th grade 03-04)Class of 2008
(9th grade 04-05)Class of 2009
(9th grade 05-06) AEA: Academically Acceptable ≥ 75.0% ≥ 75.0% TBD TBD TBD Completer II Definition Graduates + Continuing Students + GED Recipients Dropout Definition Current State Definition Phase in NCES definition NCES Definition Annual Dropout Rate (Grade 7-12) Standardfrom 2004-05
from 2005-06
from 2006-07
from 2007-08
from 2008-09
AEA: Academically Acceptable ≤ 10.0% ≤ 10.0% ≤ 10.0% TBD TBD Dropout Definition Current State Definition NCES Definition Additional Features Required Improvement See Chapter 11 TBD TBD TBD TBD Use of District At-Risk Data See Chapter 11 TBD TBD TBD TBD* Details about the 2007 accountability standards are presented in Chapter 16: Accountability Standards for 2007.
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